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Saturday, September 22, 2007

NFL Daily Presents: SOS ATS Week 3

Not only will you get my picks, but you'll get the picks of analyst Andrew Livingston and the keys to the game of the week, Cowboys-Bears from Matt Williamson of Scouts INC.

SOS ATS
DET @ PHI- Give me the Lions to at least cover the 6.5. I don't trust the Iggles and Kitna's on a roll.
MIA @ NYJ- The Jets showed some promise late last week, the Phins wilted down the stretch in their loss to Dallas. Give me Gang Green and the 3.5
BUF @ NE- This looks to be the best and worst teams matching up at Foxboro, 15.5 isn't enough to get me to even consider picking the Bills to cover. Gimme the Pats.
STL @ TB- The Bucs aren't this good, and the Rams aren't this bad. Tampa being favored is a product of an early season, I'll take St Louis with the 3.5.
SF @ PIT- The Steelers have been impressive, no doubt, but they've played awful teams. The Niners seem to play to their competition so they'll be in a lot of cose games this season. That being said, Frisco will cover the 8.5
IND @ HOU- The spread would usually be at least double this, but Houston's successes will end here. I'll take the Colts plus the 5.5.
SDG @ GB- The Packers look good, but LT is primed to break out and I expect him to do it against Green Bay. The Bolts D will force Favre into mistakes and take the game with the 4.5.
MIN @ KC- Even though the Vikings are much better with Kelly Holcomb, I expect Larry Johnson to run wild on the Vikes D and take the game by more then 2.5.
CLE @ OAK- I don't get the Browns, I'll expect them to lose and tab last week as an out of body performance. Gimme Da Raidaz with the points.
JAX @ DEN- Have you seen the Jaguars this season? Pathetic. The Broncos will break out of their close games and blow J-Villle out plus 2.5.
CIN @ SEA- If the Bengals couldn't stop Derek Anderson and Jamal Lewis, how will they do against Hasslebeck and Alexander? Expect the Seahawks to control the clock and the line of scrimmage and take the contest with the 3.5.
NYG @ WSH- Call me crazy (I've been called worse) but if the Giants have anything left, they'll at least cover the 3.5 against Washington if not win. Chalk it up to desperation, I may never pick the Giants again.
CAR @ ATL- The Falcons are terrible, the Panthers are decent. I'll take Carolins with the 4.5
DAL @ CHI- Matt Williamson gave SprungOnSports the keys to this game:
"I think Benson will be good, not great, in this game...especially between the tackles. Dallas' O will get theirs, but the Bears' D matches up well against them. Rex is obviously the X factor. He MUST value the ball and not turn it over. I picked Dallas to win because I don't trust Rex one bit, but it is going to be tight. Real tight."
I don't think Chicago will win by more then 3, I just don't trust Grossman. I'll take the Cowboys.
TEN @ NO- Emotions will be key at the Superdome on Monday Night, and I expect Sean Payton to lead New Orleans to a big win over the Titans, plus the 4.5.

Andrew Livingston's Picks
Redskins Over Giants
Jets Over Miami
SF over Pittsburgh
SD over GB
Philly Over DET
Balt Over Arizona
New England Over Buffalo
Indy Over Houston
KC Over Minny
Denver Over Jax
Cleveland Over Oakland
Seattle Over Cincy
St Louis Over TB
Dallas Over Chicago
tennesee over New Orleans
Carolina Over Atlanta

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